According to newsday.com columnist, Jimmy Breslin, we could be looking at a 2004 presidential race polling blunder on par with “Dewey Defeats Truman”. Why? Cellphones (< - article).That’s right. None of the popular polls that make for our daily political punditry fodder are calling any cell phones. This not only leaves 169 million American phone numbers out of the polling process – it leaves 169 million demographically skewed phones out.
While most people who have cellphones also have a landline, there is a significant percentage of people who don’t. And it stands to reason that those that don’t have a landline will tend to be younger and/or tech-savvy enough to realize they don’t need a landline at all. Younger/tech-savvy = voting Kerry.
Older age groups have certainly embraced the convenience of cellphone technology. However, having grown up with landlines as the only option, it is not of their mindset not to have a landline. I remember my parents’ reaction when I told them I was losing my landline for good. They thought it odd – it didn’t make sense not to have one. They consider the cellphone an extra amenity.
Not so for the younger folks. I don’t plan on ever getting a landline again. What’s the point? I was discussing this with my friend, “LordStrange” (who provided the link to the article) tonight; he informed me that he can think of 4 people off the top of his head that don’t have landlines. Knowing him, all 4 of those friends are going to vote. And all 4 are voting for Kerry.
I would imagine that an overwhelming majority of non-landlined cellphone users like myself will be voting for Kerry on election day. And to all those pollsters stating their daily percentages like they’re cold hard facts, we don’t exist. We’ll just see about that on election day.